Louisiana Tech at NORTH TEXAS (66)
By Bob Valentino, Featured Handicapper
Discounted hoops winner for you to bankroll your day yesterday as my 50 Dime Winner# 23 of 37 cashes in on VCU (+4) in their game against Penn State. The Rams losing on a three-ball at the buzzer.
All set to continue the winning here on Thursday in college football.
Winning Day # 5 of 6
Winner # 5 of 6
Late Night Bailout Lock
Air Force-Utah State - 9:30 pm
Matches Saturday's 75 Dime Winner
Alabama over Auburn
Matches Friday's 75 Dime Winner
Notre Dame over North Carolina
Matches 2 Monday's ago 75 Dime Winner
L.A. Rams outright over Tampa Bay
$10 Bettors are up $16,260 last 247 days of action
Nothing further to say, just need a winner tonight to keep momentum going my way.
The Bulldogs finally get back on the field for their first game...and last game of the regular (nothing regular about this season!) season as they play the Mean Green of North Texas early on this Thursday night. Despite being off for over a month and despite their top wide receiver Adrian Hardy opting-out for this last game to prepare for the NFL draft, I will look for the OVER to be the play in a game that features 2 defenses that have had a hard time stopping teams when they are on the field.
Louisiana Tech's defense has allowed 30 points or more in 5 of their 7 games played this season and the Over has connected in 4 of those 7 games this year. The team is ranked # 88 in overall pass defense and # 68 in rush defense and their 32.8 points per game has them at # 86 in the land. This tells me that North Texas should be able to find the endzone often enough to get this game on its way to the Over column, as they do score the football at 34.3 points per game.
Speaking of North Texas, their defense comes in with some numbers that are even worse than their opponents, as the Mean Green stand at # 118 in pass defense and are ranked at # 121 in rush defense. For the season they allow 41 points per game which has them at # 123 in the FBS for the year! Surprisingly, the Mean Green's past 2 games have stayed Under the total, but for the year 4 of their 7 games played have landed in the Over column.
These teams played 3 straight Overs between 2014-16, but the trend has been reversed with 3 straight Unders the last 3 years in their Conference USA meetings. I am looking for the Under trend to be snapped tonight at 3 straight.
Take the Over in Louisiana Tech and North Texas.
3* LOUISIANA TECH-NORTH TEXAS OVER
Air Force at UTAH STATE (51)
By Trace Adams, Featured Handicapper
It has been a long while since I have been live on this site.
You see the message announcing my return.
All I can say is 2020 has turned everything upside in a lot of folks' lives and mine is no different. I have been itching to get back to "live" handicapping and my many years of friendship with GM Al DeMarco led to numerous discussions about me coming back.
Obviously my first 2 days back have not gone according to plan as Tuesday night Kansas up by 5 with just over a minute remaining could not get the against the spread win and then yesterday a Trace McSorley "I'm dropping dimes" 70 yard TD pass with just under 3 minutes sinks me.
Hey, you know as well as I do the breaks will even out, so just be patient and stick with me. I am going to win, that is for sure!
Having said that, tonight goes early. 6:00 pm eastern kick-off in college football.
Conference USA Best Bet
Louisiana Tech-North Texas - 6:00 pm
Third time is the charm. Tonight I get my first winner on site in 2 years!
Last year's meeting between the Falcons and the Aggies produced a 31-7 win for Air Force in a game that held Under the total. It was a game in which the Falcons possessed the football for some 46 minutes!
Here we are a year later in this COVID-19 related mess of a season, but the formula tonight will be strikingly similar for the Air Force as they bring in the nation's leading rushing team with their triple option offense that churns for 336.5 yards per game this year.
With the Falcons playing keep away with the football I seriously doubt this game lands Over the total.
Air Force has played 4 games this year and 3 of the 4 have held Under. Dating back to last year the Falcons have held Under in 8 of their last 10 games played.
Utah State has played Unders in 2 of their last 3 games this year and their offense - prior to "erupting" for 41 points against a soft New Mexico team last week - had scored a grand total of just 45 points in their previous 4 games this year.
Since I do not expect the Aggies to contribute much more than 10 points total in this game, I will play this Mountain West meeting Under the posted price for Thursday night.
2* AIR FORCE-UTAH STATE