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Colorado St - Fresno St -  
10:00 PM EST


They Shocked The World Like I Said They Would On Sunday

75 Dime Winner #3 In A Row

Arizona (+3 1/2) 37-34 over Seattle

Here is what I told the world about the Cardinals on Sunday:

I'm going to ride them again tonight.

It was just Monday night when I came with this same Arizona team as a small dog at Dallas and they blew the Cowboys out 38-10.

That concluded a 3-game East Coast road trip which saw them start the trip with a 31-21 loss at Carolina, a 30-10 blowout win of the Jets and of course Dallas Monday.

Now they face their division rival and 5-0 Seattle Seahawks.

However, you dig a little deeper into that 5-0 record and you can see one or two plays don't go their way and we are talking about a 1-4 football team.

They shouldn't have beaten the Patriots, no way they should have beaten the Vikings and both the Dolphins and Cowboys had them on the ropes.

Don't get me wrong, I give them credit for winning but trust me folks, you can't keep winning with the worst defense in the NFL.

That's right, they rank 7th against the run, last against the pass, last in total defense and last in scoring defense. 

That defense is allowing close to 500 yards per game and eventually that is going to catch up with you and I believe that time is tonight.

Arizona's offense gets a lot of the attention for their 4-2 start and rightly so with DeAndre Hopkins, Larry Fitzgerald and Kyler Murray playing rock solid.

However, it's their defense that will key this victory today.

The Arizona defense has started to peak under Vance Joseph, who has put together a solid unit and he brings the #2 scoring defense into this battle Sunday night.

This unit was rock solid on Monday night against Dallas and Andy Dalton and I believe they will slowdown Russell Wilson enough to be in this game the whole way.

It won't be easy, as the Seahawks average 33.8 points a game but Arizona isn't far behind averaging just under 28.

Overall, I like what I see with this Arizona team but more importantly, I like the match ups they offensively against this Seattle defense.

Hopkins is going to have a big day.  He leads the NFL in receptions with 47 and receiving yards with 601.

Bottom line:  I can't trust Seattle laying more than a field goal against division rival this team and I will gladly jump all over this home dog tonight.

Don't be surprised to see Arizona shock the world and win this game outright.



75 Dime Winner

Arizona (+1) 38-10 over Cowboys

Here is what I told the world about the Arizona Cardinals Monday:

You can't cover numbers unless you can get stops.

And that my friends is why the Dallas Cowboys are 0-5 ATS to start the year.

After tonight, we can go ahead and make it 6.

How bad is the Dallas defense?  I'm glad you asked.  They are allowing a league worst 36 points a game and 27th in total defense allowing over 400 yards per game.

Now here comes Kyler Murray and the Cardinals with Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins ready to do some serious damage.

An offense that has put up over 400 yards in total offense in 3 of their 5 games this year.

I'm talking 404 yards at San Fran week one, 438 yards at home over Washington week two and 496 yards at Jets last week.

If Baker Mayfield and the Browns can put up 508 total yards on Dallas as they did 2 weeks ago, I fully expect the Arizona offense to have a monster day.

On the other side of the ball, the Dallas offense against this Arizona defense is going to be a very intriguing match up, especially with Andy Dalton at QB.

Dalton takes control of the #1 offense in total offense (488 yards per game) and ranks 3rd in scoring offense (32.6).

Now in this first start Dalton faces a Cardinals defense ranked 8th against the run, 9th against the pass and the 8th best scoring defense in the NFL.

You know Dalton is always good for a pick or two in primetime so you definitely count on that tonight.

This game will come down to which defense can make the most stops and without question that defense is Arizona.

Kyler Murray won 3 state championships on this field and I am fully confident he will play lights out against this Dallas defense and lead the Cards to the win.


Back On Track Sunday

75 Dime Winner

Tampa Bay (+2) 38-10 over Packers

Here is what I told the world about the Bucs on Sunday:

I have to back the home team here.

As Tampa Bay hosts Green Bay today, it wouldn't surprise me at all if this is your NFC championship game come January.

Problem is that game will probably take place at Lambeau Field in the cold but for now, this game takes place in hot and humid Tampa Bay.

Let's start with Green Bay.

The Packers are rolling large at 4-0 SU and ATS but in my opinion, have been the beneficiary of an easy schedule.

Only one of their 4 wins have come against a team with a winning record:  the 3-2 Saints.

The combined record of the other 3:  2-13 courtesy of the 1-4 Lions, 1-4 Vikings and the 0-5 Falcons.

Now after a week off, are just 1-4 ATS off their bye week.

Now to the Bucs.

Tampa Bay lost at New Orleans to open the year, blasted a solid Carolina team by 14 at home, crushed the Broncos on the road by 18 and came back to win by 7 over the Chargers at home.

They were robbed a week ago Thursday at Chicago by the refs or we would be talking about a 4-1 Bucs team.

For my dollar, I am still not sold on this Packers defense and I really feel Brady is going to have a big day against them.

Will Aaron Rodgers have some success today?  Absolutely, he is Aaron Rodgers and at the moment, he has had success against everyone.

However, in my opinion, this is the best defense he has seen all year long.

This game is going to come down to which defense can get the key stop at the right time and for my dollar, it's going to be the Bucs.

Tampa Bay gets the win this afternoon.

My Biggest NFL Release Of The Year


150 DIME

Packers (+3 1/2) 37-30 over Saints - 9/27

Here is what I told the world about the Packers Sunday night:

I will be shocked if they don't win the game outright.

After watching both of these teams play the first 2 weeks of the regular season, I trust what my eye test tells me about both clubs.

The Packers look completely connected on all levels.  The Saints do not.

In their first two games Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense has absolutely shredded Minnesota and Detroit for 43 and 42 points respectively.

Rodgers was 32 for 44 against the Vikings for 364 yards and 18 of 30 for 229 yards against the Lions.

They didn't need his arm against Detroit as Aaron Jones, the leagues leading rusher after 2 weeks, had 168 yards on 18 carries as the Pack rushed for 259 on the day.

The Saints on the other hand look completely disconnected.

Yes, they opened the year beating Tampa Bay 34-23, but I argue it wasn't really what the Saints did to win that game but what Tom Brady did to lose it.

You see 34 points and think Bree's and the offense had a huge day but that couldn't be further from the truth.

The Saints had a measly 271 yards of total offense as Bree's was 19 of 31 for only 189.

Feeling good about themselves, they go out to Vegas on Monday night and get hammered by the Raiders 34-24 as 5 1/2 point road favorites.

In that game Derek Carr shredded the Saints defense going 28 of 38 good for 261 yards as the Raiders also ran for 116.

If the Raiders and Derek Carr were able to do that, what is red hot Rodgers going to do in a stadium with no fans!!!!!

Bottom line:  The Saints don't look right and I believe there are lingering tumors from the Malcom Jenkins/Drew Brees riff about kneeling for the National Anthem.

Packers are probably going to lose Devante Adams but the Saints probably are without Michael Thomas as well.  I feel this hurts Brees more than Rodgers.

In week one I jumped on the Packers plus the points over the Vikings and got myself a big fat juicy 100 dime blowout winner.

Here in week 3, I will jump on the Packers again and jump on them huge.

I Made It 6 Straight Super Bowl Winners



Chiefs 31-20 over Niners





NFL Title Game Record

Here is what I told the world about the Kansas City Chiefs:

The clear cut right side of this game is the boys from the state of Missouri.

In watching the 2nd half of my 150 dime winner on the Niners over the Packers in the NFC championship game, one thing became very apparent to me.

This Niners defense is a bit overrated.

In using San Fran in the game, I discarded the 46 points they allowed and the zero sacks they had at New Orleans on December 8th against Drew Brees.

I discarded the 31 points they allowed at home and the zero sacks they had against the Rams in week 16 against Jared Goff.

In the title game up 27-0 nothing they allowed Aaron Rodgers to open the 2nd half with not one score, but 3 straight scoring drives getting the game to 34-20.

The Niners defense couldn't get to Rodgers in those 3 drives.  Not one sack.  Not one knock down.  Nothing.

With every advantage on the planet earth:  home field, crowd noise, big lead, they failed miserably.

That is a huge red flag for me in looking at this match up.

You want to get excited about the San Fran wins over Minnesota and Green Bay, be my guest but not me cause I thought those two teams were dog shit all year.

The Niners dodged huge bullets not having to face the Saints or a 3rd matchup with Seattle.

This San Fran defense is now facing the best QB they would have seen in 2 years, a QB in Patrick Mahomes who is as mobile as it gets.

From what we have seen in their match ups with mobile QB's this year, the Niners have struggled.

Against Russell Wilson they lost at home on Monday night in OT and should have lost week 17 in Seattle.

Against Kyler Murray they allowed 21 points on the road and 26 points at home allowing the rookie to scramble 8 times for 67 yards in that 2nd meeting.

The Niners defense will have their hands full with Mahomes, who could have a monster day..

Speaking of defense, while San Fran's defense is getting all the pub and all the hype, this Chiefs defense is playing their best ball of the year right now.

To shut down Derrick Henry the way they did was beyond impressive.  He was only the hottest playoff running back in NFL history.

A running back that destroyed two defenses in the Patriots and Ravens that on paper were leaps and bounds better than the Chiefs.

Bottom line:  Don't sleep on this Chiefs D, especially with the man they have in charge of that defense..

In 2008, current Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnola, faced the 18-0 Patriots in the Super bowl.

it was just 5 weeks prior those same Patriots went into New York the last game of the regular season and shredded the G'men 45-35.

With 2 weeks to prepare he came up with a game plan and beat the Patriots holding them to 14 points.!!!!

I fully expect him to take away the Niners run game and force Jimmy Garappolo to beat him.  Advantage Chiefs.

Listen, the Niners went 4-12 last year and because of that record, they were gifted a soft schedule and to their credit, they took advantage of it.

Over his 20 year career when he has had 2 weeks to prepare Andy Reid is 17-3 SU.

Tough to beat with a bye week folks.

The only thing missing from Andy Reid's Hall Of Fame resume is a Super Bowl Championship.

He gets his Super bowl win on Sunday.

Chiefs 34-24



30 Dime Rays - Loss

Net for the day: -30 dimes



Pittsburgh (-4 1/2) over Seattle - Winner

Indianapolis (-7) over Chicago - Winner

NY Giants (+12) over New England - Winner

Arizona (+7) over Pittsburgh - Winner

 Indianapolis (-5) over New Orleans - Loss

Pittsburgh (+3) over Green Bay - Loss

NY Giants (+2 1/2) over New England - Winner

Baltimore (+4 1/2) over San Francisco - Winner

Denver (-2 1/2) over Seattle - Loss

New England (PK) over Seattle - Winner

Denver (+5 1/2) over Carolina - Winner

New England (-3) over Atlanta - Winner

Philadelphia (+4) over New England - Winner

New England (-2 1/2) over Rams - Winner

Kansas City (-1 1/2) over San Fran - Winner

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Colorado St - Fresno St -  
10:00 PM EST


Without question the most important 5 days of the entire year.

50 Dime College Football Best Bet

Colorado St - Fresno St

If anyone needed a day off to just reset and re focus, it was yours truly.

With October coming to a fast close and November starting, I have no problem acknowledging how important these next 5 days are.

Let's recap what has transpired since sports rebooted on July 22nd with Major League Baseball.

We gave out those first 7 days for free and wouldn't you know it, I went 6-1 on the diamond and the winning streak was on.

I Delivered The Winning July

Then the NBA playoffs started at the beginning of August and I went on an absolute tear there as well and stayed hot in baseball.

I Delivered The Winning August

Then College and Pro Football started in September and I got off to another incredible start cashing 11 of my first 13 football selections.

I Delivered The Winning September

As good as I was in those 3 months was as bad as I have been here in October and with just 2 days left in this month, it's important to finish it on a winning note.

Here is where the Bankroll stands heading into this Thursday card:

$10 Players Up $9,825 last 116 days

My auto biography is titled, "The Rise, Fall and Resurrection of a Sports Handicapper."

The rise was July, August and September winning streak.  The fall was the month of October.

Trust me, the resurrection will be November.

First things first.....a winning Thursday to set the table for a monster weekend.

Let's get it done.

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