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Derek Mancini

 


 

Tuesday

 

10 Dime

Winner # 3 In A Row

 

Dodgers-Padres

 

7-2 overall L6 days, + 77.5 Dimes!

 

+ 385 Dimes Net Profit L100 Days!

 

10 Dime Winner # 1

Rockies (+110) over Braves 8/23

 

10 Dime Winner # 2

Blue Jays (+125) over Yankees 8/25

 


 

Monday, Sept. 6th

 

15 Dime - Virginia Tech - Loss

 

Net: - 16.5 Dimes

 


 

Saturday, August 28th

 

Another Easy 2-0 Sweep!

 

25 Dime NFL

Game of the Month

 

Winner - Panthers (-3) over Titans 15-7

 

Bonus Play:

 

10 Dime MLB Value Chalk

 

Winner - Rockies over LA Dodgers 5-3

 

Net: + 35 Dimes

 


 

Sunday, August 22nd

 

30 Dime - Brewers - Loss

 

Net: - 30 Dimes

 

Still 5-1 roll with 30 dime releases!

 


 

Friday, August 20th

 

20 Dime MLB

Winner # 3 In A Row

 

Winner - Brewers over Padres 10-6

 

Net: + 20 Dimes

 


 

Tuesday, August 17th

 

20 Dime MLB

Winner # 2 In A Row

 

Winner - Athletics over Blue Jays 6-2

 

Net: + 20 Dimes

 


 

Monday, August 16th

 

20 Dime N.L.

Game of the Week

 

Winner - Mets (+110) over Astros 3-1

 

Net: + 22 Dimes

 


 

Friday, August 13th

 

 30 Dime

Winner # 5 In A Row

 

Winner - Blue Jays (+115) over Angels 3-0

 

Net: + 34.5 Dimes

 


 

Saturday, August 7th

 

30 Dime

Winner # 4 In A Row

 

Winner - Braves over Giants 3-0

 

Net: + 30 Dimes

 


 

Thursday, August 5th

 

30 Dime

Winner # 3 In A Row

 

Winner - Braves over Giants 3-2

 

Net: + 30 Dimes

 


 

Tuesday, August 3rd

 

30 Dime

Winner # 2 In A Row

 

Winner - Orioles over Angels 6-3

 

Net: + 30 Dimes

 


 

Thursday, July 8th

 

30 Dime N.L.

Game of the Month

 

Winner - Phillies over Reds 4-3

 

Net: + 30 Dimes

 


 

Biggest NBA Play I've Ever Had!

 

1st Ever

75 Dime

Release of my Career

 

Game 7 Winner - Celtics

 

6-1 in NBA Finals

Up + 167 Dimes Net Profit!

 

Net: + 75 Dimes

 


 

Tuesday, June 1st

 

2nd Ever

100 Dime

Release of my Career

 

Another Winner

 

Rangers (+110) 9-6 over the White Sox

 


 

1st Ever

100 Dime

Play

 

EZ Winner - May 21 - Athletics over Giants 6-1

 


 

This is what I told you on June 1...

 

100 Dime Winner - Texas

 

Looking over this match up, and then analyzing the line, I've concluded its simply too easy to play the White Sox here. You can throw whatever stats you want at me (more on that later), but Vegas is trying to tell us something with this number. That something is this is going to be a much tougher match up for the Pale Hose that meets the eye tonight at the Cell.
 
The first question that comes to my mind is why is Mark Buehrle only a modest favorite in this spot? He's got a stellar record at home against Texas (7-2, 2.55 ERA), is coming off a game where he threw only 36 pitches due to an ejection, and is facing a Rangers team that's struggling (1-6 L7 games). He doesn't even have to face Nelson Cruz, who went on the DL with a hamstring injury. Fishy to say the least.
 
But the answer lies with Buehrle's counterpart, Rich Harden (2-1, 5.14 ERA), who has been inconsistent at best, but has fared very well in this specific spot. When Harden gets 6 or more days of rest, he's been great, going 10-5 with a 2.66 ERA in 28 starts! He's also enjoyed plenty of success against the White Sox, going 4-3, 3.19 ERA in 8 career starts. Harden will be looking to bounce back of an ugly start in Kansas City, and you couldn't ask for a better situation.
 
For all the flak the Rangers have caught during their current slide, their offense is still far and away better than the White Sox. They're batting .282 over their L10 games, and average 4.3 runs per game against lefties on the season. Anyone who follows the White Sox knows their offense is average at best, ranking in the bottom 3rd in batting average (27th), runs scored (23rd), and OPS (25th). They're also just 11-13 at the Cell this season.
 
Note: The Rangers collected 19 hits and 9 runs in rallying from an early 4-0 hole.
 
The White Sox may seem like a "lock" at this price with Buehrle on the hill, but they're anything but. Texas rebounds behind a rested Harden tonight at the Cell. Rangers (Harden) over the Chi. White Sox (Burhrle) Tuesday.

 


 
Derek Mancini's Rating System:

How I rate a game is every bit as important as the play itself.

 

As any smart gambler knows, wins and losses mean very little; it's the ratings that are assigned to plays that matter the most. A straight-up winning percentage is very misleading and really means nothing at all.

 

You'll visit some sites online - most of which are dominated by offshore sportsbook advertisements and links - where the handicappers rate all their plays equally by the same units. So what they're telling you is that every play is rated the same and should be played the same. That is a total joke and when I see that I often wonder if their hands are in the cookie jar of the sports books backing their sites. In other words, does winning or losing matter to them really? Are they making money off their customer's action, win or lose, through a half-sheet?

 

Fact is, plays should always be rated according to how you like them. How else am I supposed to let you know how much I like a game in relation to how much of your bankroll you should be putting on it?

 

Simplicity here is the key. My plays are always going to be rated on a 10 Dime to 100 Dime scale in increments of five dimes. Clearly a 50 dime play is twice as strong as a 25 dime release and so on and so forth.

 

I don't believe in playing too many games a day, either. The key is being selective, finding a few key games and playing them accordingly. On the busiest of days, if you find me with three to five selections, that would be the maximum. And on some days, no matter the size of the card, if there's one game I'm going to hit hard, that's the only game I'm releasing.

 

Always remember this: You will only get the selections I'm personally playing, and win or lose, you'll always find the results posted on this page the following day.

 

Who is Derek Mancini?

"What a scumbag."

 

That's what I thought of the first guy who hit me up to put my picks online. He was an obese troll with a New York accent who ran a phone room operation.

 

I'm only 28-years old (as of 2010), but I've been around the block and in this business long enough to know guys like him were dinosaurs whose predatory ways and unscrupulous business tactics were something that I wanted no part of now or forever.

 

I got my own start in this business while in college. I had been gambling since I was in high school; even longer if you consider I started playing parlay cards regularly in 8th grade. My father gambled, his two brothers gambled, their father gambled; the apple didn't fall far from the tree.

 

I went to college, got my business degree with a minor in marketing, and gambled my way throughout. But in my sophomore year I decided to start selling my picks to friends and associates, first through a tipsheet I published and then via a subscription-based, voice-mail phone network.

 

I graduated in 2004, started working for a major retailer in their financial center, but never gave up my side business, continuing to grow my customer base annually through hard work and winning.

 

In 2008, I decided to leave the corporate world where I worked for others and venture out on my own. Friends and family thought I was crazy, but I had nearly 300 full-time customers and I wanted to make handicapping my full-time business.

 

Is it a performance-based business where you are judged on winning and losing? Absolutely, but I viewed no differently than any athlete should coming out of school. If I make it to the "pros," I would strike it rich and hit the big time. If I failed, I could always cash in my chips and return to the corporate world and put my business degree back to use.

 

Needless to say, I've never looked back. By the start of the 2009-10 football season I had over 550 full-time players, but I knew that I had to make my move online in order to service them more effectively and expand my following even further.

 

I had been researching a number of possible online destinations, and had been solicited by many, but I had certain criteria:

 

First, they could NOT have anything to do with offshore gambling sites; no links, no advertisements. I did not want to be associated with something like that where it would appear I was getting paid for winners AND losers. Plus, so many of those sites are in business not for selling picks, but for advertising the offshore sportbooks they throw clients too. Many of them get kickbacks, working on half-sheets. And when they're offering service in exchange for free money on deposits or for opening new accounts...well that's downright chilling.

 

Second, I wanted nothing to do with a site whose operators also ran a phone room operated by a bunch of scumbag salesmen whose sole purpose was to rape customers for every dime they had, often double-siding games for the benefit of always maintaining a 50% win ratio.

 

Third, I wanted an Internet home where I could sell my plays at an affordable price, providing substantial discounts for customers that make long-term commitments.

 

On all three counts, this site passed and it's why I chose it for my home.

 

I like two things more than anything else in this world: I work hard to make money via gambling, and I love enjoying the fruits of my hard labor. And that philosophy is why I posted the picture that you see of me at the top of this page. It was taken by friends at the penthouse suite I had in Vegas for my Super Bowl party after the Cardinals got me the easy cover against Pittsburgh two years ago. The blonde on my right is Megan, who I've been dating on and off for the past two years. The brunette on the left is her best friend, Janine. If ever there was a reward for having a great season and scoring a huge win it was cashing a winning ticket on Arizona and partying all night in Vegas with those two.

 

Work Hard, Play Hard. The athletes we gamble on do it. Why shouldn't we when we're winning?

 

Today's Complimentary Selection:

Following a big win yesterday, their 3rd in 4 games, I can see why bettors are excited to get the Cardinals at this price tonight at Miller Park. However, things are rarely what they seem, and its clear oddsmakers are begging for St. Louis in this spot - which is not a good thing.

 

What this number tells me is that oddsmakers are not expecting much of a bounce back from Kyle Lohse (2-6, 7.12 ERA). We're seeing him as a slight dog against a pitcher who's struggled against the Cardinals this season, and that's a tell tale sign of problems ahead for the Cardinals righty. He got skipped coming off a terrible effort at Washington, and while the Brewers offense is no juggernaut, they've got enough power with Hart and company to get it done tonight. Brewers are batting a healthy .275 vs righties over their L10 games.

 

Chris Narveson (10-7, 5.33 ERA) has had his ups and downs this season, but he's seems to have found his rythmn over the last month, going 2-0 with a 3.55 ERA over his L6 starts. Cardinals have roughed him up this season, but they've been slumping at the plate of late, and he may be catching them at the perfect juncture - the midst of his own surge.

 

Both bullpen have been awful of late, so this one comes down to the starters, and in that case, you give a big edge to the Brewers and Narveson. There's a reason they're favored, and that reason is the pitching match up. Lay it with Milwaukee (Narveson) over St. Louis (Lohse) Tuesday.

 

3♦ MILWAUKEE BREWERS (on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)

 

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